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CIO View: Cautious Optimism for 2012 as Growth Diverges and Geopolitical Risk HoversStandish CIO David Leduc sees opportunities in US corporate bonds, emerging market debt and high-quality structured finance in 2012, as growth rates diverge globally and political and policy risk hovers. Author: David Leduc
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The Case for Dynamic Asset AllocationMellon Capital Management contends that the inability of a static asset allocation mix to accept new information is the main cause of unrealized return expectations and argues for a more dynamic asset allocation approach. Business: Investment Management
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Weather Eye for Opportunities in All SeasonsNewton's head of fixed income, Paul Brain, warns that the eurozone remains stormy and unpredictable so that a flexible and unconstrained investment approach in 2012 is likely to find pockets of opportunity across global bond and currency markets. Author: Paul Brain
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Zen and the Art of Liquidity MaintenanceLikening the stock market to a high-performance car engine, the ISSG's Bob Jaeger argues that reliable liquidity comes from long-term investors with strong nerves to withstand price volatility rather than high-frequency traders with very short investment horizons. Author: Robert Jaeger
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A Radical Proposal for a Square Root Recovery: Don't Forget the Right TailAmid nervous markets, BNY Mellon's ISSG commentators warn that investors focused exclusively on downside risk might be selling cheap assets to buy expensive ones, while foregoing possible upside opportunities. Authors: Robert Jaeger, Stephen Kolano
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Brazil's GDP Expected to Rise Moderately in 2012 Amid Strong FundamentalsBNY Mellon ARX expects healthy year-over-year growth of 3.5% for Brazil in 2012, with strong domestic demand, low unemployment and range-bound inflation. Author: Solange Srour
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Rethinking Bond Index Weightings and Concentration RiskThe ISSG's Ralph Goldsticker and Mellon Capital's Lowell Bennett discuss the concentration risks in issuance-weighted government bond indexes, at a time of high sovereign debt, and suggest ways of constructing more efficient bond portfolios to mitigate those risks. Authors: Ralph Goldsticker, Lowell Bennett
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Rising Uncertainty for ChinaStandish comments on China's challenges transitioning from an export-driven model of growth to one based more on domestic consumption, while seeking to reform its financial system and social safety net. Authors: Thomas Higgins, Edward Ladd, Ai Ling Ngiam
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Global Market Outlook 2012: A Time of ReckoningAnticipating another year of volatile markets, investment professionals from across BNY Mellon Asset Management's specialist boutiques present their views on areas of opportunities and potential downside risks in our 2012 Global Market Outlook. Authors: Jack Malvey, James Harries, Francis Sempill, Brian Ferguson, Ben Russon, Andy Cawker, Raj Shant, Hugh Simon, Jason Pidcock, Kirk Henry, Paul Brain, Thomas Higgins, Gunther Westen
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Diverging Paths for Global Credit MarketsStandish Global Macro Strategist Tom Higgins looks at the potential contagion effects of what he sees as a likely eurozone recession in 2012. Author: Thomas Higgins
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