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Zen and the Art of Liquidity MaintenanceLikening the stock market to a high-performance car engine, the ISSG's Bob Jaeger argues that reliable liquidity comes from long-term investors with strong nerves to withstand price volatility rather than high-frequency traders with very short investment horizons. Author: Robert Jaeger
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A Perspective on Risk and Return in a Deleveraging WorldNewton argues that we are in a historic environment of deleveraging and low interest rates, calling for an active and flexible investment approach with a focus on absolute return, income generation and unconstrained global investing. Business: Investment Management
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Rethinking Bond Index Weightings and Concentration RiskThe ISSG's Ralph Goldsticker and Mellon Capital's Lowell Bennett discuss the concentration risks in issuance-weighted government bond indexes, at a time of high sovereign debt, and suggest ways of constructing more efficient bond portfolios to mitigate those risks. Authors: Ralph Goldsticker, Lowell Bennett
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Brazil's GDP Expected to Rise Moderately in 2012 Amid Strong FundamentalsBNY Mellon ARX expects healthy year-over-year growth of 3.5% for Brazil in 2012, with strong domestic demand, low unemployment and range-bound inflation. Author: Solange Srour
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A Radical Proposal for a Square Root Recovery: Don't Forget the Right TailAmid nervous markets, BNY Mellon's ISSG commentators warn that investors focused exclusively on downside risk might be selling cheap assets to buy expensive ones, while foregoing possible upside opportunities. Authors: Robert Jaeger, Stephen Kolano
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Rising Uncertainty for ChinaStandish comments on China's challenges transitioning from an export-driven model of growth to one based more on domestic consumption, while seeking to reform its financial system and social safety net. Authors: Thomas Higgins, Edward Ladd, Ai Ling Ngiam
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Global Market Outlook 2012: A Time of ReckoningAnticipating another year of volatile markets, investment professionals from across BNY Mellon Asset Management's specialist boutiques present their views on areas of opportunities and potential downside risks in our 2012 Global Market Outlook. Authors: Jack Malvey, James Harries, Francis Sempill, Brian Ferguson, Ben Russon, Andy Cawker, Raj Shant, Hugh Simon, Jason Pidcock, Kirk Henry, Paul Brain, Thomas Higgins, Gunther Westen
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Diverging Paths for Global Credit MarketsStandish Global Macro Strategist Tom Higgins looks at the potential contagion effects of what he sees as a likely eurozone recession in 2012. Author: Thomas Higgins
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The Power of Expectations: Aligning Asset Allocation with Macro Regime ChangesBNY Mellon's Investment Strategy and Solutions Group argues that adjusting asset class exposures as growth and inflation expectations shift has the potential to improve risk-adjusted returns for asset allocation approaches. Authors: Jeffrey Saef, Ralph Goldsticker, Robert Jaeger, Rumi Masih, Michael Griswold, Stephen Kolano, James Spruyt, Vitaly Veksler
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Burnin' Down the House: Straight Talk on Tail RiskISSG Senior Investment Strategist Ralph Goldsticker argues there is no portfolio equivalent of fire insurance that will protect all investors at the same time for a reasonable price. He discusses how tail risk hedging works, the trade-offs involved, and how the costs are determined. Author: Ralph Goldsticker
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